Like I wrote last year, this planned inflation by Shinzo Abe and the LDP is going to be the death of Japan's economy. A few weeks ago, a spike in oil and gasoline prices was announced (You Wanted Inflation, You Got It: Japanese Gasoline Price Rises To Eight Month High) then about ten days ago a 9.75% increase in wheat prices was announced. Please refer to my satirical blog post entitled: Shinzo Abe Resigns as Japanese Prime Minister:
The headlines read, "Japanese
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe Resigns!"
... Well, sorry to get your hopes up, but not yet he hasn't... But he will in a
few months... Food prices are about to soar over 10% on many items! Shinzo Abe
hasn't resigned yet, but let me state it here: Shinzo Abe will not last out
2013. I predict that his tenure could end as early as August 2013. Why?
They wanted inflation; they now have it. Idiots! Food prices in Japan are
about to soar. Zero Hedge reports in Japan Food Prices Set To Soar As
Government Hikes Wholesale Wheat Prices By 10%.
Well, of course it was all predictable. Really, I mean this isn't rocket science; it's third grade mathematics. I don't know what world these politicians are living in, but in the real world, two plus two equals four. Need I explain more? So, if math doesn't lie then when you devalue your currency by 20%, then your costs are going to go up by 20%... Especially in a country that imports nearly all of her energy needs (and just a few of her nuclear power plants running)!
A weakened yen would help exports, as I pointed out, IF the export business were robust. But it is not. And it's not wholly in the dumpster because of a high yen. Don't look now but the entire world in in recession and that, my friends, is probably the biggest reason the export business is tanking.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a
number issued daily by the London-based Baltic Exchange. Not restricted to
Baltic Sea countries, the index provides "an assessment of the price of
moving the major raw materials by sea.
Amid growing concern that
the global economy is teetering on the edge of a total collapse, governments in
Europe, China and the United States continue to manipulate statistics in an
effort to paint a picture of recovery and a return to normalcy.
But despite their best
efforts to fabricate positive employment numbers, GDP growth, currency
stability and stock market health, the stark reality is that the global economy
is at a standstill, and has been since before the crash of 2008...
...In essence, the price of transporting goods collapsed – to its lowest levels ever. That old theory of supply and demand was the culprit. You see, when there is no money to buy goods, there is no demand for said goods. This puts pressure on transportation companies who make a living moving products from port to port around the world. But because no one was able to consume, there was no need to ship anything. This forced transportation companies to reduce their freight rates in an effort to stay competitive.
The clowns in the LDP think a
weak yen will rescue Japan's faltering economy by making exports cheaper...
Sounds good... That is, if there anyone to buy Japanese goods.
I fear that the weaker yen will be the last straw in breaking the Japanese
Economy. Here's my reasoning why...
OK. I was wrong. It's more than 10%! I was in error. Sue me!
Now, lucky reader, the other shoe has dropped: Japan has announced a 14% ~ 19% across the board increase in energy and utility prices. Please refer to: Market Watch: Japan's utilities to hike rates amid weak yen
TOKYO--Japanese utilities, forced to idle their nuclear
power plants over the past two years and facing higher fuel costs due to a weak
yen, are now looking to push through double-digit rate hikes for their
commercial customers.
The action
comes at a bad time for some Japanese companies that were hoping the fall in
the yen and much-trumpeted efforts by the government to turn round the economy
would help improve their prospects.
While
the government has raised some concerns about the raising of power rates, the
move seems inevitable given the prior deregulation of electricity prices.
--Weak
yen pushing up imported fuel costs for Japanese utilities
--Rate
rises of 14%-19% expected to come into force
--Higher
electricity prices likely to hit smaller corporations most severely
Some people will say, "But Mike, these increases are only for commercial customers!" Yeah, right. As if they won't pass the costs onto the consumer... Once again, I think that mathematics are pretty simple here. If they get hit with a 14% increase in costs, they will pass that onto the consumer. I'll also bet that a 14% increase in costs will cause them to increase the costs of the goods that they are trying to ship overseas thereby damaging exports.
Nah!
Thank you Shinzo Abe and your planned inflation and 18% depreciation of the yen. I reckon we can expect more of the same.
With things going this well with the yen at 95 to the dollar, imagine how great things will be when the yen hits 120 to the dollar!
Woo-hoo! A 40% across the board increase in energy and food prices! We'll be rich!